TOTAL VOLUME:
$155b
24H VOL:
$291,703,288
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,001,463,625
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,957,545,529
414,484
Markets across
39,701
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,434
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:23 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Shijiazhuang Gongfu and Ningbo Professional, focusing on determining whether one team wins in regular time or if the game ends in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Market outcomes reflect the immediate final score without considering subsequent playoff or tiebreaker scenarios.
The event resolves based on the result of the Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Ningbo Professional professional China League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Shijiazhuang Gongfu wins, that specific market resolves to Yes. If Ningbo Professional wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. All markets are strictly limited to the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time and do not account for extra time, penalty shootouts, or any post-match decisions. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, being driven by individual traders, tends to more closely reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering more favorable odds. However, it’s important to remember that both sources are based on probabilities and can differ due to varying information and analytical approaches. Examining both can provide a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with higher demand pushing prices up and lower demand pushing them down. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official score reported by the governing body of the Chinese basketball league following the conclusion of the match between Shijiazhuang Gongfu and Ningbo Professional. The final score will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market, and all contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in prior matches by either Shijiazhuang Gongfu or Ningbo Professional could also impact the odds. Furthermore, broader news related to the Chinese basketball league, such as rule changes or controversies, might also play a role in how this market evolves leading up to the Oct 24, 2026 resolution.