TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 11:39 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for October 9 at 7:35 AM ET.
More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for October 9 at 7:35 AM ET.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market aims to represent the true probability of an outcome as assessed by traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available, but significant differences can sometimes present arbitrage opportunities.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shenzhen vs. Henan match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the outcome is officially determined and reported. The market will close prior to the official result to allow for accurate settlement and payout of shares.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 9, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Shenzhen or Henan would likely cause significant price movement. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, any news regarding team tactics, weather conditions, or even public statements from coaches or players could impact the perceived probabilities and thus the price of shares in this market. Major upsets in related matches could also have a ripple effect.