TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:42 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Chinese Super League soccer match between Shenzhen Peng City and Shanghai Shenhua. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The market covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Shenzhen Peng City vs Shanghai Shenhua professional Chinese Super League soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Shenzhen Peng City, a win for Shanghai Shenhua, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution excludes results from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the standing after the standard match duration.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. If significant differences emerge, it may suggest that prediction market traders believe the sportsbook odds are mispriced, or vice versa. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Chinese Super League match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time assessment of the likelihood of each possible result, providing a unique view beyond static odds.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official outcome of the Chinese Super League match between Shenzhen Peng City and Shanghai Shenhua, as reported by official league sources. Resolution will occur after the completion of the game and verification of the final score. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the settled outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could all impact the perceived probabilities of each outcome. Unexpected announcements or significant shifts in public sentiment could also drive price movements. As the match approaches, any updates related to team lineups or tactical approaches will likely be closely watched by traders, potentially leading to increased volume and price fluctuations.