TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 9:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the October 9, 2026 soccer match between Shenzhen Peng City and Henan will end in a tie. Currently, Kalshi gives a 60.0% probability to a tied result, with Henan winning at 30.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official result of the Shenzhen Peng City vs Henan professional Chinese Super League soccer game. Keep a close watch on the match itself on October 9, 2026, as the final score will determine the resolution of this market.
The event resolves based on the result of the Shenzhen Peng City vs Henan professional Chinese Super League soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the respective market if Shenzhen Peng City, Henan, or a tie is the final result within this timeframe. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under exceptional circumstances.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profitability, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of prediction market participants. If you find a significant difference between this market and sportsbook odds, it could signal an opportunity for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for a contract that pays out if the outcome it represents comes to pass.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shenzhen Peng City vs Henan match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The precise details of the event’s result will be used to determine the final settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 9, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or broader trends in the league, might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can cause price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in market confidence about the Shenzhen Peng City vs Henan match.