TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:17 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional basketball game between the Shenzhen Leopards and Shanghai Sharks, reflecting the competitive dynamics of the Chinese Basketball Association. The resolution depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match scheduled for October 16, 2026. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will follow specific guidelines to ensure fair resolution.
The event resolves based on the result of the men's professional Chinese Basketball Association game between Shenzhen Leopards and Shanghai Sharks scheduled for October 16, 2026. If Shanghai Sharks win, their corresponding market resolves to Yes, and the Shenzhen Leopards’ market resolves to No, and vice versa. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, theoretically offering a more accurate reflection of true probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, and the influence of public opinion. It’s common to see this market diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Shenzhen Leopards and Shanghai Sharks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing perceptions of the Shenzhen Leopards versus Shanghai Sharks matchup. The current price reflects the aggregated wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game between the Shenzhen Leopards and Shanghai Sharks as reported by the Chinese Basketball Association. The winning team, as determined by the official game score, will dictate the outcome of this market. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the completion of the game and official result verification.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 16, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Shenzhen Leopards or Shanghai Sharks would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team lineups, coaching strategies, or even pre-game reports about team morale could also impact trading. Major upsets in other games involving these teams, or broader trends within the Chinese Basketball Association, might also sway trader sentiment and move the market. Any significant information affecting the perceived competitiveness of each team is likely to be reflected in the market price.