TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 8:54 AM EST
Kalshi
The final soccer matchup determines resolution through a win in regular play for either competitor, with a draw as an distinct outcome. Any extensive rescheduling of the match triggers a fair price adjustment for all possible results.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the Shenzhen Juniors FC vs Guandong GZ-Power FC professional China League 1 soccer game scheduled for Oct 7, 2026. If Shenzhen Juniors FC wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the "Shenzhen Juniors FC" market resolves to Yes. If Guandong GZ-Power FC wins under the same conditions, the "Guandong GZ-Power FC" market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regular time, the "Tie" market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to collectively assess the probability of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that prediction markets and sportsbooks have different user bases and informational inputs, leading to potential variations.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shenzhen Juniors vs Guandong GZ-Power match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the verified result. It is important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date for any potential delays or changes to the event schedule.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Pre-match analysis from sports analysts and commentators, as well as public polls and betting trends, might also impact the market. Furthermore, significant events during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards, could cause rapid price fluctuations. Keeping abreast of these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.