TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 8:06 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Shelbourne FC and Waterford FC, scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Shelbourne FC" if Shelbourne FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Waterford FC" if Waterford FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Shelbourne FC and Waterford FC, scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Shelbourne FC" if Shelbourne FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Waterford FC" if Waterford FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying levels of information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each team scoring first. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both venues. However, it’s important to note that market efficiency isn’t guaranteed, and opinions can shift rapidly based on new information or breaking news surrounding the teams.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Shelbourne or Waterford will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, scaled to a value between 0 and 100. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and changing sentiment regarding the match.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Shelbourne FC versus Waterford FC match. If no goal is scored by either team, the market will resolve as ‘No Goal Scored’. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the first goalscorer, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the match progresses to understand the potential resolution path.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Shelbourne or Waterford would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Tactical announcements from the managers, such as confirmed starting lineups or changes in formation, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators, could sway opinions. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to movement in this market.