TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 7:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Premier Division (Ireland) game, scheduled for Friday, October 30, 2026 between Shelbourne FC and Waterford FC.
This event is for the upcoming Premier Division (Ireland) game, scheduled for Friday, October 30, 2026 between Shelbourne FC and Waterford FC.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. This can lead to differences, as prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions and are incentivized to accurately reflect true probabilities. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by traders responding to news, analysis, and their own informed opinions. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shelbourne FC versus Waterford FC match. Any official postponement or cancellation of the match will be reflected in the market’s resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates regarding the match schedule and results.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or unexpected weather conditions impacting the match could shift trader sentiment. Additionally, pre-match analysis from sports analysts and public opinion polls might also play a role. A surprising result in a related match involving either team could also trigger movement, as could any significant developments affecting team morale or performance expectations.