TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Sheffield Wednesday and Cambridge, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. It reflects how decisively one team outperforms the other within regular time.
The event resolves based on the margin of victory in the Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for October 27, 2026. If Sheffield Wednesday wins by more than 2.5 goals, that specific market resolves to Yes. If Sheffield Wednesday wins by more than 1.5 goals (but not exceeding 2.5), that market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Cambridge wins by more than 1.5 goals, that market resolves to Yes, and if Cambridge wins by more than 2.5 goals, that market resolves to Yes. The outcome is determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from consideration. All markets are independent, and only the specific threshold met determines the resolution. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public interest. It's common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread in the Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater expectation that the spread will fall within a certain range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, and the resulting price reflects the aggregated forecast of all participants. This creates a dynamic and efficient market for predicting the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the governing sporting body, ensuring an objective and transparent determination. Traders will then be paid out or have their positions adjusted based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual spread. It is important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, as could major shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis. Furthermore, large trades on Kalshi itself can cause noticeable price movements, especially with lower volume. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market's forecast.