TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Sheffield United and Lincoln. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, providing insight into the match's offensive intensity. It reflects the competitive nature of the game without predicting the exact score.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Sheffield United vs Lincoln EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalties—must exceed the specified threshold. All markets share the same underlying match and timing conditions, ensuring consistency across thresholds. The event is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Traditionally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd' and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market's odds are driven entirely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of various outcomes. If a significant number of traders believe a particular goal total is more or less likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, various total goal counts for the Sheffield United vs Lincoln match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices fluctuate, providing a dynamic and real-time estimate of the expected outcome. The goal is to accurately predict the final goal tally.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final goal count from the Sheffield United vs Lincoln match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals scored will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sheffield United or Lincoln would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or unexpected lineup announcements could prompt traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions accordingly, leading to price fluctuations.