TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Sheffield United and Lincoln, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Sheffield United vs Lincoln EFL Championship match scheduled for October 10, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are possible, each corresponding to a specific winning margin: Sheffield United winning by more than 2.5 goals, Sheffield United winning by more than 1.5 goals, Lincoln winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Lincoln winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies into their lines, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's life, as prediction markets can be more sensitive to new information and shifts in sentiment. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into market perceptions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the spread in the Sheffield United vs Lincoln match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that particular spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand from traders on Kalshi, and is not influenced by external factors or predetermined algorithms beyond the basic order-matching mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Sheffield United vs Lincoln match, as officially recorded, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The process is designed to be straightforward and based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Sheffield United or Lincoln could significantly shift expectations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also play a role. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions could also cause the market to react. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of different spread outcomes has the potential to move this market.