TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:07 PM EST
Kalshi
The Sheffield United versus Lincoln clash in the EFL Championship will test whether both clubs can score during the match's standard timeframe. Success depends on each team's ability to breach the opponent's defense and convert chances into goals within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time allocated for the game.
If Sheffield United and Lincoln both score a goal in the Sheffield United vs Lincoln EFL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often leading to probabilities that differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial odds to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of both teams scoring. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a continuously updating market versus static sportsbook lines. It’s common to see this market converge towards what many consider the 'true' probability as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Sheffield United and Lincoln will score during the match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of 'Yes' (both teams to score). On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders participating.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Sheffield United and Lincoln score at least one goal each during the scheduled match. Official match data from reputable sports news sources will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The final price of the contracts on Kalshi will reflect the outcome – a price near 100 if both teams score, and a price near 0 if one or both teams fail to score.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sheffield United or Lincoln would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trader sentiment. Even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators or unexpected team lineup announcements could shift the probabilities reflected in the market price. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of goals being scored by either team has the potential to move this market.