TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:39 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Sheffield United and Derby, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specific goal differential threshold in the match. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Sheffield United and Derby scheduled for October 24, 2026. Resolution occurs based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcome scenarios are assessed: Sheffield United winning by more than 2.5 goals, Sheffield United winning by more than 1.5 goals, Derby winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Derby winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each scenario independently determines a 'Yes' resolution if the specified condition is met. The event explicitly states that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price here will diverge. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a broader range of participants evaluating the probabilities of the Sheffield United vs Derby match. It’s common to see this market offer insights that differ from traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders can take either the 'buy' (yes) or 'sell' (no) side of the spread. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price will fluctuate based on new information and the aggregate actions of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result of the Sheffield United vs Derby match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Sheffield United vs Derby match. The platform will then verify the outcome against publicly available data to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to view the final settlement details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the event.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team form, or tactical adjustments could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions would likely cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, broader sporting news or even weather conditions impacting the match could also play a role. Significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, could also move this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.