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410,833

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4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Sheffield Shield: Western Australia vs Queensland Bulls
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Western Australia vs Queensland Bulls?

Volume:
$17,036

Western Australia

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 12:10 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Western Australia

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,397
N/A
N/A
$4,068
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Western Australia

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Queensland Bulls

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,516
N/A
N/A
$3,386
Settled
No
polymarket

Queensland Bulls

View
0%
89%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group concerns a Sheffield Shield cricket match between Western Australia and Queensland Bulls scheduled for October 7, 2026. Markets ask whether Western Australia or Queensland Bulls will win, or if the match will end in a draw, based on the official result of the match.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves 'Yes' if either team wins, while Polymarket focuses solely on a Western Australia win.Hero tip: Consider the differing question framing when trading. Kalshi's market implicitly includes the probability of a Queensland Bulls win, while Polymarket is a direct bet on Western Australia.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Asks 'Will Western Australia win?' and resolves 'Yes' only if Western Australia wins. Source: https://www.cricket.com.au/competitions/sheffield-shield
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if either Western Australia or Queensland Bulls wins the match. 'DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the cricket match between Western Australia and Queensland Bulls scheduled for October 7 2026 at 10:30 PM ET in Sheffield Shield. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the specified team if they are officially declared the winner of the Western Australia vs Queensland Bulls men's professional Sheffield Shield cricket match scheduled for October 7, 2026, at 10:30 PM EDT. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. In cases of forfeit, disqualification, or concession, markets resolve to $0.50 if the issue occurs before the match begins; if it occurs after play has started and the governing body declares a winner, the market resolves based on that declaration.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates individual predictions, creating a dynamic and responsive price. Differences can arise due to varying levels of information, biases, and the incentive structures of each venue. It’s valuable to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, differing interpretations of available information and varying risk appetites among traders on each platform contribute to these discrepancies. The volume traded on each platform also plays a role; a market with higher volume generally has tighter spreads and more accurate pricing. Currently, the volume on this market is $17,036.