TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:03 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional basketball game between two teams competing in England's Super League. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match scheduled for a specific date and time. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will affect how and when the outcome is determined.
The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional England Super League basketball game between Sheffield Sharks and Surrey 89ers, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026, at 9:00 AM EST. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within that 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs, which can lead to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially when there’s significant public interest and a lot of trading activity. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the event's outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the collective wisdom of the traders. Currently, the most probable outcome, according to Kalshi traders, is Surrey 89ers wins. As more trades occur, the price will adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the evolving probabilities. The market's price is solely determined by supply and demand on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sheffield Sharks vs Surrey 89ers game in the British Basketball League. The team declared the winner by official league results will determine the winning contract in this market. Traders who hold contracts for the winning team will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts for the losing team will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Sheffield Sharks or the Surrey 89ers would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a winning or losing streak, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or significant roster moves could also move the market. Finally, general news and analysis surrounding the British Basketball League, and even broader sports betting trends, could all contribute to fluctuations in this market before it resolves.