TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:05h:50m
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This group covers markets related to a single NHL game between the San Jose Sharks and the Vegas Golden Knights on November 4th. Markets include a winner-takes-all prediction and over/under bets on the total number of goals scored.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 4 at 10:00PM ET: If the Sharks win, the market will resolve to "Sharks". If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 4 at 10:00PM ET: If the Sharks win, the market will resolve to "Sharks". If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. The efficiency of this market relies on informed participants and the free flow of information, potentially identifying value not immediately apparent elsewhere.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict can arise due to variations in trader demographics, market liquidity, and differing opinions on the factors influencing the Sharks-Kings game. Each platform attracts a unique set of participants with their own risk tolerance and information advantages. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – currently $5 overall – isn’t evenly distributed, which can lead to price divergence. These factors contribute to the distinct probabilities observed on each market, offering opportunities for arbitrage and informed trading.
This market is scheduled to resolve around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Sharks-Kings game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by the relevant sports authorities. The outcome of this market will reflect the actual result of the game, allowing traders to profit from their accurate predictions. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available data and does not involve any subjective interpretation.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Sharks or the Kings would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the game, such as a change in venue or starting lineup, could also cause volatility. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the game’s outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.