TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sharks vs. Ducks
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 9 at 10:00PM ET: If the Sharks win, the market will resolve to "Sharks". If the Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Ducks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use different threshold interpretations for over/under markets. Kalshi lists 8 separate over/under thresholds (2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5), while Polymarket specifies 4 distinct O/U markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) with explicit resolution rules that differ in how they define the threshold boundary.Hero Tip:
The key difference: Polymarket's O/U 5.5 resolves Over at 6+ goals, while Kalshi's over 5.5 market resolves Yes at 6+ goals — these align. However, Kalshi presents all thresholds as separate markets without explicit descriptions, whereas Polymarket clearly states each threshold and its boundary condition. If you trade across platforms, verify the exact threshold and whether the boundary is inclusive or exclusive before placing bets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi lists 8 separate over/under markets (2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5 goals) for the San Jose vs Anaheim game on Apr 9, 2026, each resolving Yes if the threshold is exceeded, but provides no explicit boundary language or shootout adjustment rules. Example: 'If over 5.5 total combined goals are scored...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 4 O/U markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) with explicit resolution thresholds and boundary conditions. Each market specifies the exact goal count required to resolve Over (e.g., O/U 5.5 resolves Over at 6+ goals, O/U 7.5 resolves Over at 8+ goals) and includes a shootout adjustment rule: 'In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.'
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