TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sharks vs. Bruins
Volume:
$1,363,702
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the San Jose Sharks vs. Boston Bruins NHL game scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple over/under total goals thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and a spread bet (Bruins -1.5). Resolution depends on final game score including overtime and shootout adjustments.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket applies a +1 goal adjustment for shootout outcomes to all markets, while Kalshi markets do not reference shootout adjustments, creating a systematic 1-goal divergence in resolution thresholds when games reach shootout.Hero Tip:
Monitor pre-game analytics for shootout probability. If shootout is likely, Polymarket O/U thresholds effectively shift down by 1 goal relative to Kalshi. For example, Polymarket O/U 4.5 (resolves Over at 5+ actual goals) becomes equivalent to Kalshi O/U 3.5 in a shootout scenario. Arbitrage opportunities exist if one platform underprices shootout-heavy matchups.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: All O/U markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) and moneyline explicitly state: 'In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.' This means a 3-3 regulation tie + shootout = 7 combined goals for resolution, regardless of actual scoring.
- Kalshi: Eight O/U markets (thresholds: 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5) contain no shootout adjustment clause. Resolution logic is silent on shootout handling, implying actual combined goals (regulation + OT only) determine outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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