TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:14 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional basketball game between two teams competing in China's top-tier league. The resolution depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match. Any changes to the game's schedule or cancellation will follow specific guidelines to determine the final settlement.
The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional China CBA basketball game between Shanxi Loongs and Zhejiang Lions, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026, at 7:35 AM EDT. If Zhejiang Lions win, their corresponding market resolves to Yes, and the Shanxi Loongs market resolves to No, and vice versa. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profitability, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than traditional betting venues, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of true probabilities as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. When more people buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. This creates a market-driven forecast for the Chinese basketball game.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shanxi Loongs versus Zhejiang Lions basketball game. The platform will verify the final score against trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the game's location or scheduling could also have an impact. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the teams and their performance can influence trading activity. Even late-breaking reports on team morale or practice sessions could cause the market to react, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest available information.