TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Shanxi Loongs vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigers
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Predict
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 10, 2026
Time left: 07d:08h:57m
$
This group resolves to which team wins the CBA basketball game between the Shanxi Loongs and the Xinjiang Flying Tigers on November 3rd. The markets specify resolution based on the final score, including overtime, with contingencies for postponement or cancellation.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for November 3 at 6:35AM ET: If the Shanxi Loongs win, the market will resolve to "Shanxi Loongs". If the Xinjiang Flying Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Xinjiang Flying Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional China CBA basketball game between the Xinjiang Flying Tigers and the Shanxi Loongs, scheduled for November 3, 2026, at 6:35 AM EST. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for November 3 at 6:35AM ET: If the Shanxi Loongs win, the market will resolve to "Shanxi Loongs". If the Xinjiang Flying Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Xinjiang Flying Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit from setting lines, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient at incorporating information, especially as an event approaches. While sportsbooks may adjust lines based on betting volume, this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of a diverse group of forecasters. The difference between these odds can present opportunities for arbitrage, though transaction costs must be considered.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market design. Each platform attracts a different set of participants with potentially varying levels of expertise and information. Additionally, the specific rules and fees associated with each platform can influence trading behavior. For example, Polymarket might have a more active trading community focused on basketball, while Predict may attract a broader range of participants. These factors contribute to the independent price discovery process on each platform for the Shanxi vs. Xinjiang game.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Shanxi vs. Xinjiang game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the game, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible for payout based on the odds at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team performance, or coaching changes for either Shanxi or Xinjiang could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about game conditions, such as venue changes or rule modifications, could also impact the market. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in social media or sports news coverage, can also drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.