TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 9:33 AM EST
Kalshi
This prediction market asks a simple question: which basketball team will win the CBA game between the Shanxi Loongs and the Ningbo Rockets. Resolution depends on the final score, including overtime, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled without a reschedule.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the Shanxi Loongs vs Ningbo Rockets men’s professional China CBA basketball game scheduled for Oct 20, 2026, at 7:35 AM EDT. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 20 at 7:35AM ET: If the Ningbo Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Ningbo Rockets". If the Shanxi Loongs win, the market will resolve to "Shanxi Loongs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, incorporating a margin. Prediction markets, however, are driven by genuine belief, allowing traders to buy and sell based on their assessments. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the market aggregates diverse perspectives. While sportsbooks may initially influence prediction market prices, the latter tends to converge on a more ‘true’ probability as more information and volume accumulate in this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching adjustments would likely cause price movement. Unexpected performance in preceding games for either the Shanxi Loongs or the Ningbo Rockets could also shift expectations. Major news events impacting the broader basketball league, or even general economic factors influencing betting behavior, could have an effect. Monitoring these signals and their potential impact on the game’s outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.