TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 25 at 7:35AM ET: If the Shanxi Loongs win, the market will resolve to "Shanxi Loongs". If the Jiangsu Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Jiangsu Dragons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 25 at 7:35AM ET: If the Shanxi Loongs win, the market will resolve to "Shanxi Loongs". If the Jiangsu Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Jiangsu Dragons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of a diverse group of forecasters. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, sometimes exceeding the performance of traditional polls or analysts. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available and the event draws nearer, providing a unique perspective beyond standard betting lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information surfaces, the prices adjust to reflect the collective forecast. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing perceptions and provides a clear signal of the crowd’s expectations for the Chinese basketball game.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shanxi Loongs versus Jiangsu Dragons basketball game. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to verify the final score and determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the resolved result of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators, could also impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in other related games, or even broader trends in Chinese basketball, might also play a role in moving this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the collective forecast.