TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 11:16 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 16 at 7:35AM ET: If the Shanghai Sharks win, the market will resolve to "Shanghai Sharks". If the Shenzhen Leopards win, the market will resolve to "Shenzhen Leopards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 16 at 7:35AM ET: If the Shanghai Sharks win, the market will resolve to "Shanghai Sharks". If the Shenzhen Leopards win, the market will resolve to "Shenzhen Leopards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, as they are continuously updated by a large number of participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price of shares indicates what the crowd believes is the likelihood of a specific result in the Sharks vs. Leopards match.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shanghai Sharks vs. Shenzhen Leopards match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to traders who correctly predicted the result. It’s important to note that the resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly shift the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and social media, can also play a role. Furthermore, significant bets placed by influential traders on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Unexpected performance during other games leading up to the match might also affect trader confidence and, consequently, the market price.