TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Shanghai Sharks vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers
all
2 markets
Predict
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 10, 2026
Time left: 12h:15m:47s
$
This event group concerns a single Chinese Basketball Association (CBA) game between the Shanghai Sharks and the Jilin Northeast Tigers. The markets resolve to which team wins the game, with a 50-50 split in the event of cancellation and continued play if the game is postponed.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for November 3 at 6:35AM ET: If the Shanghai Sharks win, the market will resolve to "Shanghai Sharks". If the Jilin Northeast Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Jilin Northeast Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
The event resolves based on the winner of the designated professional basketball game. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market stays open to resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within that 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for November 3 at 6:35AM ET: If the Shanghai Sharks win, the market will resolve to "Shanghai Sharks". If the Jilin Northeast Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Jilin Northeast Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and ensure profit, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. This market reflects what participants believe will happen, potentially incorporating information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. The volume of $4,316 suggests significant interest in this event, and the resulting price may offer a different perspective than conventional betting options. These differences can create arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Chinese Basketball Association. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order matching on each platform influence price formation. Currently, Polymarket and Predict may have slightly different probabilities assigned to the outcome due to these factors, creating opportunities for traders to exploit discrepancies.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shanghai Sharks versus Jilin Northeast Tigers game, as reported by the Chinese Basketball Association. The winning team will determine the outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of any potential delays or clarifications regarding the event's final result.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves around Nov 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Shanghai Sharks or the Jilin Northeast Tigers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching strategies, or even public sentiment could also impact predictions. Unexpected announcements about game conditions or referee assignments might also shift the odds. Monitoring team social media, sports news outlets, and expert analysis will be crucial for tracking potential catalysts that could move this market’s price.