TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 6:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Yannick Hanfmann will advance against Kamil Majchrzak in their scheduled match at the Shanghai Rolex Masters. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of “Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak”. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET, as the outcome will be determined by whether the match is completed.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yannick Hanfmann and Kamil Majchrzak in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yannick Hanfmann' if Yannick Hanfmann advances against Kamil Majchrzak. This market will resolve to 'Kamil Majchrzak' if Kamil Majchrzak advances against Yannick Hanfmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's lifecycle, as prediction markets can incorporate information and insights that sportsbooks may not immediately consider. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shanghai Rolex Masters match between Yannick Hanfmann and Kamil Majchrzak. The platform will verify the result against official tournament data and reporting to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Hanfmann or Majchrzak, or changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface) could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the Shanghai Rolex Masters, affecting the players’ momentum or confidence, could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create price movements, as traders react to perceived advantages or disadvantages.