TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Zizou Bergs in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Zizou Bergs. This market will resolve to 'Zizou Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Zizou Bergs in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Zizou Bergs. This market will resolve to 'Zizou Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individual traders’ beliefs and information. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd and the bookmakers disagree about the likely outcome of the Paul vs Bergs match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current volume traded indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding this particular event.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Paul vs Bergs match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect which player won the match, as officially recorded by tournament organizers. Resolution is based on the official result and does not rely on subjective interpretations or delayed reporting. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome determined at that time.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from analysts and experts, could also impact the market. A significant shift in betting activity at sportsbooks could also cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to price movements in this market for the Paul vs Bergs match.