TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin Game Spread +/-4.5
- Polymarket
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin Game Spread +/-4.5 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 6, 2026
Closed: Oct 6, 3:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rigele Te and Ilia Simakin in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rigele Te' if Rigele Te advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Rigele Te. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rigele Te and Ilia Simakin in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rigele Te' if Rigele Te advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Rigele Te. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market relies on the aggregated predictions of individuals. It is common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market's lifecycle, as prediction markets can incorporate information and analysis that sportsbooks may not immediately factor in. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Polymarket tend to converge with those found at major sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving consensus of the crowd. The current price indicates what the market believes is the likelihood of a particular player winning.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual winner of the match. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews from tennis analysts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the Shanghai Rolex Masters could also impact perceptions of player form and therefore affect the odds. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive price movements, reflecting changing expectations about the Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin match.