TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer
- Polymarket
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Elias Ymer - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 5, 2026
Closed: Oct 5, 10:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Elias Ymer in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Elias Ymer. This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Mattia Bellucci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Elias Ymer in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Elias Ymer. This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Mattia Bellucci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players' form and potential. It’s common to find that prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when there’s significant public interest and trading volume in this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Bellucci vs Ymer match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective probability assigned to each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more responsive the price will be to new information and trading activity. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date expectations of informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shanghai Rolex Masters qualification match between Mattia Bellucci and Elias Ymer, as declared by the tournament organizers. The market will determine which player won the match according to the official scoreline. The outcome will be based on the official result and not subject to any disputes or revisions after the event has concluded.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about their physical fitness or strategic approaches could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and influence the price. Public opinion and analysis from tennis experts might also play a role in shaping trader sentiment leading up to the match.