TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Linang Xiao and Federico Cina in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Linang Xiao' if Linang Xiao advances against Federico Cina. This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Linang Xiao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Linang Xiao and Federico Cina in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Linang Xiao' if Linang Xiao advances against Federico Cina. This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Linang Xiao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by individual traders on Polymarket, represents a different perspective, potentially identifying information not fully captured by sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, injury concerns, or even subtle factors influencing the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the match's potential result. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the fair chance of either Linang Xiao or Federico Cina securing victory.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Linang Xiao vs Federico Cina qualification match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The player who wins the match will be considered the winning outcome for this market. Any potential disputes will be assessed against publicly available match data to ensure an accurate and fair resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or even weather forecasts could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the Shanghai Rolex Masters tournament could also shift attention and influence trading behavior. Furthermore, any public statements from players or their coaches regarding their preparation or strategy might move this market as traders react to the new information.