TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Dane Sweeny vs Kimmer Coppejans
- Polymarket
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Dane Sweeny vs Kimmer Coppejans - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 6, 2026
Closed: Oct 6, 6:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dane Sweeny and Kimmer Coppejans in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dane Sweeny' if Dane Sweeny advances against Kimmer Coppejans. This market will resolve to 'Kimmer Coppejans' if Kimmer Coppejans advances against Dane Sweeny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dane Sweeny and Kimmer Coppejans in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dane Sweeny' if Dane Sweeny advances against Kimmer Coppejans. This market will resolve to 'Kimmer Coppejans' if Kimmer Coppejans advances against Dane Sweeny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction markets like this one can offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction market odds sometimes being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different sets of information and participant biases.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sweeny vs Coppejans match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of shares directly indicates the market’s assessment of each player’s chances of winning, and this dynamic pricing is driven entirely by supply and demand from traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sweeny vs Coppejans match as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will then verify this information and settle the market accordingly, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the winner. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term price fluctuations, as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.