TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
polymarket

What is the result of Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime?

Volume:
$526,478

Completed Match

 - Polymarket

Completed Match - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 2:42 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 Winner

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,221
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Game Spread +/-3.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$902
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 22.5

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 21.5

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$69
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 23.5

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$510,228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,166
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,426
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
96%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Intro

This market tracks whether the scheduled tennis match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Shanghai Rolex Masters will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime”. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match’s scheduled start time of October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET, as that will be the first signal regarding whether the match proceeds as planned.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime. This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs and adjust prices based on new information. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as event time approaches and more volume is traded.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. The current price indicates what the market believes is the likelihood of a particular player winning the Shanghai Masters match, based on the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shanghai Masters match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Felix Auger-Aliassime, as declared by the tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will be the winning outcome for this market. It’s important to note that any potential delays or changes to the match schedule could affect the exact resolution time.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in form, or even weather conditions at the Shanghai Masters could all cause shifts in sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this one might also impact perceptions of player momentum. Any significant updates related to the players’ physical condition or strategic approach would likely be reflected in the trading activity and therefore move the market price. Increased trading volume generally indicates heightened interest and potential price swings.