TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 7:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Miomir Kecmanovic and Jakub Mensik in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miomir Kecmanovic' if Miomir Kecmanovic advances against Jakub Mensik. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Miomir Kecmanovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Miomir Kecmanovic and Jakub Mensik in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miomir Kecmanovic' if Miomir Kecmanovic advances against Jakub Mensik. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Miomir Kecmanovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin, while this market represents what traders believe is the true probability of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public attention. It’s common to find opportunities where prediction market odds offer value compared to traditional sportsbook offerings, especially as new information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the match’s potential result. The current volume traded indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding the various possibilities.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shanghai Rolex Masters match between Miomir Kecmanovic and Jakub Mensik, as reported by official tournament sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official channels for the final result and confirmation of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from analysts and experts, could also impact the odds. Additionally, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 17, 2026.