TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

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63%

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz
polymarket

What is the result of Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz?

Volume:
$252,013

Completed Match

 - Polymarket

Completed Match - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 5:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,470
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$933
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Game Spread +/-3.5

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 21.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$237,741
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,924
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 Winner

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$849
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Taylor Fritz in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Taylor Fritz. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Taylor Fritz in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Taylor Fritz. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying levels of market participation. It’s common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information, potentially leading to odds movements that diverge from sportsbook offerings before eventually converging as the event approaches.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, reflecting the collective intelligence of the crowd. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders on Polymarket regarding the outcome of the Arnaldi vs Fritz match.

This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the officially declared winner of the Shanghai Rolex Masters match between Matteo Arnaldi and Taylor Fritz. The platform will rely on authoritative sports news sources and official tournament results to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on the final result and their holdings in the corresponding outcome shares within this market.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analyses from tennis experts could prompt traders to reassess their positions. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from the players themselves, could also significantly impact the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in sentiment and lead to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 17, 2026.