TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Game Spread +/-2.5
- Polymarket
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Game Spread +/-2.5 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 10, 2026
Closed: Oct 10, 8:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Luciano Darderi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Luciano Darderi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and may incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a constantly updated assessment of the potential result of the Darderi vs Tsitsipas match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shanghai Rolex Masters match between Luciano Darderi and Stefanos Tsitsipas, as reported by official tournament sources. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the victor. The outcome will be determined by the official result, not by any subjective interpretation.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this one might also impact perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a change in collective belief about the likelihood of either player winning the Darderi vs Tsitsipas match.