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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz
polymarket

What is the result of Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz?

Volume:
$172,840

Completed Match

 - Polymarket

Completed Match - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 8:59 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$922
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$618
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$169,831
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Game Spread +/-6.5

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$586
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$488
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 Winner

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$350
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 21.5

View
0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Carlos Alcaraz in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Carlos Alcaraz in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome, though discrepancies can and do occur. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and potentially offer more favorable odds, depending on how traders interpret the available data. Comparing these odds can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely result.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, while the price of a 'no' share represents the probability of the opposite outcome. The higher the price, the greater the perceived chance of that outcome. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shanghai Rolex Masters match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Carlos Alcaraz. The platform will verify the winner against publicly available and authoritative sources to determine the final settlement of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the resolved outcome.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player fitness, such as injury reports for either Alcaraz or Cerundolo, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions at the Shanghai Rolex Masters, or even updates on court surface conditions, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, performance in preceding matches, or even comments from analysts and experts, could all contribute to shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also indirectly affect trading.