TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Rafael Jodar will win against Jiri Lehecka in their Shanghai Rolex Masters match, specifically resolving to ‘Rafael Jodar (-0.5) vs Jiri Lehecka (+0.5)’ if Jodar advances. Currently, Polymarket assigns a 100.0% probability to this outcome. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET, as this is when the event will begin and provide the first signal for resolution.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Rafael Jodar in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if Jiri Lehecka advances against Rafael Jodar. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Jiri Lehecka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks may set lines based on power rankings or public perception, while this market aggregates the insights of informed traders. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate than traditional odds as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before the event begins, with this market potentially offering a different assessment of each player's chances.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shanghai Rolex Masters match between Jiri Lehecka and Rafael Jodar, as reported by official tournament sources. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will pay out accordingly based on the final result. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the match outcome and subsequent market settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause price fluctuations, reflecting changes in perceived probabilities. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.