TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ignacio Buse and Zizou Bergs in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Zizou Bergs. This market will resolve to 'Zizou Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Ignacio Buse. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ignacio Buse and Zizou Bergs in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Zizou Bergs. This market will resolve to 'Zizou Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Ignacio Buse. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially when there's strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. It’s common to see this market diverge from sportsbook odds as new information emerges or as traders express strong convictions about the outcome of the Buse vs Bergs match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, providing a forward-looking assessment of the Buse vs Bergs match result. The current price movements are driven by traders reacting to news and analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shanghai Rolex Masters match between Ignacio Buse and Zizou Bergs, as reported by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available, authoritative sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result of this market, reflecting their accurate predictions about the match’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant performance updates could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from analysts predicting a particular outcome, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could temporarily impact the price, reflecting a strong conviction about the Buse vs Bergs match’s result. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding the market’s dynamics.