TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Hubert Hurkacz will advance against Yi Zhou in their Shanghai Rolex Masters tennis match, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Hubert Hurkacz advancing. Resolution will be based on the official results reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match outcome itself, as the market will resolve based on whether Hubert Hurkacz advances following the completion of the match on or before the resolution date of 2026-10-19.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Yi Zhou in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Yi Zhou. This market will resolve to 'Yi Zhou' if Yi Zhou advances against Hubert Hurkacz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a smaller team of professionals, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, although it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is influenced by a variety of factors, including news, player form, and overall sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shanghai Rolex Masters match between Hubert Hurkacz and Yi Zhou, as reported by official tournament organizers. The market will determine which player won the match, and the outcome will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament could cause shifts in the odds. Strong performances by either player in preceding matches, or even comments from analysts predicting a specific outcome, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions at the Shanghai Rolex Masters could also play a role, potentially affecting player performance and market sentiment.