TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 3:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Hubert Hurkacz will advance against James Duckworth in their Shanghai Rolex Masters match, specifically focusing on whether Set 2 will have over or under 9.5 games. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Hurkacz vs. Duckworth: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5”. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the official results reported following the completion of the match.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and James Duckworth in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against James Duckworth. This market will resolve to 'James Duckworth' if James Duckworth advances against Hubert Hurkacz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. The current price reflects what traders are willing to pay for a share representing a win for either Hurkacz or Duckworth, and is influenced by factors like player form, head-to-head records, and recent match results.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shanghai Rolex Masters match between Hubert Hurkacz and James Duckworth. The platform will verify the winner based on official tournament results. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected match withdrawals would likely cause significant price movement. Strong performances by either player in preceding matches, or even comments from analysts predicting a particular outcome, could also shift sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the Shanghai Rolex Masters could also be a catalyst, as could any significant updates regarding player form or strategy leading up to the Hurkacz vs Duckworth match.