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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier
polymarket

Who will win Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier?

Volume:
$1,383,600

Completed Match

 - Polymarket

Completed Match - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 12:02 PM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,265
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier Total Sets: O/U 2.5

100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$895
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier Match O/U 22.5

100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$618
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier Set 1 Winner

100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$243
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier Match O/U 23.5

100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier Match O/U 21.5

100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier

0%
68%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,355,284
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,880
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier Set 2 Winner

0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,646
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier Game Spread +/-3.5

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,479
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier Set 1 O/U 8.5

0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier Set 1 O/U 9.5

0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier Set 1 O/U 10.5

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier Set 2 O/U 8.5

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier Set 2 O/U 9.5

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier Set 2 O/U 10.5

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 16

Intro

This market tracks whether Holger Rune will win by more than 3.5 games against Daniel Altmaier in their Shanghai Rolex Masters match, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 10.0% probability to Game Spread: Holger Rune (-3.5) vs Daniel Altmaier (+3.5). The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match start time of October 6, 2026, as the outcome will be determined by the final game spread in that fixture.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Holger Rune and Daniel Altmaier in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Holger Rune' if Holger Rune advances against Daniel Altmaier. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Altmaier' if Daniel Altmaier advances against Holger Rune. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Rune vs Altmaier match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each outcome has shifted over time, and the total volume traded in this market is currently $1,377,767. The 24-hour volume is $1,377,333, indicating recent trading activity. This provides a clear view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of each player winning this match. The dashboard is updated in real-time, reflecting the latest market movements.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it may suggest that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has more informed traders. It’s common to see the market odds move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shanghai Rolex Masters match between Holger Rune and Daniel Altmaier. The platform will verify the result against established sports news sources and official tournament records. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the winner of the match, as reported by these sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.

Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even pre-match interviews revealing strategic insights could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, affecting player confidence or momentum, could also play a role. Furthermore, real-time updates during the match itself, such as a player struggling with their serve or exhibiting signs of fatigue, could lead to rapid price adjustments in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential market movements.