TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 5:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Zachary Svajda in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Zachary Svajda. This market will resolve to 'Zachary Svajda' if Zachary Svajda advances against Fabian Marozsan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Zachary Svajda in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Zachary Svajda. This market will resolve to 'Zachary Svajda' if Zachary Svajda advances against Fabian Marozsan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the views of informed traders. However, initial sportsbook lines often influence early trading in this market. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and the incentives of participants – sportsbooks aim for profit, while prediction market traders aim for accurate predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shanghai Rolex Masters match between Fabian Marozsan and Zachary Svajda as reported by the ATP Tour. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine which player won the match and trigger settlement of the market.
Several factors could influence trading in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates for either Fabian Marozsan or Zachary Svajda, would likely cause significant price movement. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the Shanghai Masters could also shift perceptions of each player’s chances. Finally, even general tennis news or analysis from respected commentators could impact trader sentiment and cause fluctuations in the odds for this market.