TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Pavlasek/Rikl and Arevalo/Pavic in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavlasek/Rikl' if the team of Pavlasek/Rikl advances against Arevalo/Pavic. This market will resolve to 'Arevalo/Pavic' if the team of Arevalo/Pavic advances against Pavlasek/Rikl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Pavlasek/Rikl and Arevalo/Pavic in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavlasek/Rikl' if the team of Pavlasek/Rikl advances against Arevalo/Pavic. This market will resolve to 'Arevalo/Pavic' if the team of Arevalo/Pavic advances against Pavlasek/Rikl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying levels of information and incentives. Sportsbooks may incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely result of the match, or that one venue has access to more information than the other. It's important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shanghai Rolex Masters doubles match between Pavlasek/Rikl and Arevalo/Pavic. The winning team, as declared by the tournament organizers, will determine the outcome of this market. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be addressed according to Polymarket’s standard procedures.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before the match concludes. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated analysis from tennis experts could all shift traders’ perceptions of the likely outcome. Unexpected performance in earlier rounds of the tournament by either team could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, potentially causing a notable price movement in this market.