TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Cerundolo/Tirante and Schnaitter/Wallner in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cerundolo/Tirante' if the team of Cerundolo/Tirante advances against Schnaitter/Wallner. This market will resolve to 'Schnaitter/Wallner' if the team of Schnaitter/Wallner advances against Cerundolo/Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Cerundolo/Tirante and Schnaitter/Wallner in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cerundolo/Tirante' if the team of Cerundolo/Tirante advances against Schnaitter/Wallner. This market will resolve to 'Schnaitter/Wallner' if the team of Schnaitter/Wallner advances against Cerundolo/Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there’s a significant disparity, it could indicate a perceived mispricing by either the market or the sportsbook. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed bettors, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees of the final result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, offering a forward-looking assessment of the match’s potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Cerundolo/Tirante vs Schnaitter/Wallner doubles match at the Shanghai Rolex Masters. The platform will verify the result against official tournament data to determine the winning team and finalize the market’s settlement. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will not.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated analysis from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Strong performance by either team in preceding matches, or even early momentum within the match itself, could also lead to significant price movements. Unexpected upsets in other matches at the Shanghai Masters could also indirectly affect this market as it impacts overall tournament dynamics and perceptions of team form.