TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 7:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Cabral/Tracy and Arends/Johnson in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cabral/Tracy' if the team of Cabral/Tracy advances against Arends/Johnson. This market will resolve to 'Arends/Johnson' if the team of Arends/Johnson advances against Cabral/Tracy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Cabral/Tracy and Arends/Johnson in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cabral/Tracy' if the team of Cabral/Tracy advances against Arends/Johnson. This market will resolve to 'Arends/Johnson' if the team of Arends/Johnson advances against Cabral/Tracy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or limitations in their modeling, while this market benefits from a large number of participants analyzing available information. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing risk appetites and information access between prediction market traders and sportsbook operators. It's always wise to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of the perceived probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of Cabral/Tracy winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the likelihood of this outcome happening.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the Shanghai Rolex Masters (Doubles) match between Cabral/Tracy and Arends/Johnson. The winning pair as determined by the tournament organizers will dictate the settlement of this market. The platform will verify the results against official tournament data to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even strategic announcements from either team could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in earlier rounds of the tournament for either Cabral/Tracy or Arends/Johnson could also impact the odds. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive price movements in either direction.