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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
polymarket

What is the result of Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime?

Volume:
$523,524

Completed Match

 - Polymarket

Completed Match - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 3:41 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,351
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 Winner

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$957
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 21.5

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$347
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 23.5

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$67
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 22.5

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$504,970
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
77%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,593
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Game Spread +/-5.5

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,036
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 Winner

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 16

Intro

This market tracks whether the scheduled tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Felix Auger-Aliassime will be completed at the Shanghai Rolex Masters. Currently, Polymarket gives a 96.5% probability to “Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime”, while the alternative outcome, “Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime”, is priced at 34.5%. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour scores website: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET, as that will be a key indicator of whether the match proceeds as planned.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime. This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a player’s chances, the prediction market odds will likely diverge. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a large amount of trading volume occurs. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into public perception versus professional analysis.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Auger-Aliassime vs. Carabelli match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular outcome will occur, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.

This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Auger-Aliassime vs. Carabelli match as reported by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the outcome against credible public sources to determine which outcome will be considered the winner for the purposes of this market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price.

Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament upsets, might also impact the odds. Furthermore, significant trading volume from influential traders could create momentum and drive price changes. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 17, 2026.