TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 2:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Ugo Humbert in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Ugo Humbert. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Humbert' if Ugo Humbert advances against Arthur Gea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Ugo Humbert in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Ugo Humbert. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Humbert' if Ugo Humbert advances against Arthur Gea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the Gea vs Humbert match. Therefore, you may find discrepancies between the implied probabilities on Polymarket and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or indicate varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Gea vs Humbert match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood of that result. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated insights of all participants in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Gea vs Humbert match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will be settled accordingly. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, providing a definitive outcome for all traders involved in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from tennis experts could trigger significant price movements. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the Shanghai Rolex Masters tournament might also affect perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and drive the price of shares in either direction before this market resolves.