TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 10:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Arthur Fery will win by at least two games against Marin Cilic in their Shanghai Rolex Masters match. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Arthur Fery (-1.5) vs Marin Cilic (+1.5). Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET, as the outcome will be determined by whether Fery achieves the specified game spread during the match.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Marin Cilic in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Arthur Fery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shanghai Rolex Masters match between Arthur Fery and Marin Cilic, as declared by the tournament organizers. The winning outcome in this market will align with the player officially recorded as the victor of the match. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is verified and finalized on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries to either Arthur Fery or Marin Cilic would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Updates on their recent performance, changes in playing conditions, or even pre-match interviews expressing confidence or concerns could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament venue could also play a role, as could any major upsets in other matches that affect the players’ mental state or tournament trajectory.