TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 9:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Alexander Zverev will advance against Alexander Bublik in their scheduled match at the Shanghai Rolex Masters. Currently, Polymarket gives a 99.5% probability to the outcome of a completed match between Alexander Zverev and Alexander Bublik. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET, as this is when the event will begin and the market will likely resolve shortly thereafter.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Alexander Bublik in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Alexander Bublik. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, the prediction market may move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the betting cycle, as prediction markets can quickly incorporate new information and differing opinions about the Zverev vs Bublik match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts that pay out if their predicted outcome occurs. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Alexander Zverev will win, for example, the higher the price of contracts predicting his victory will climb. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd and adjusts as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shanghai Rolex Masters match between Alexander Zverev and Alexander Bublik, as declared by the tournament organizers. The winning player, as officially recorded, will determine the payout of contracts in this market. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even pre-match interviews revealing strategic insights could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, might also cause fluctuations. Any information that alters perceptions of Alexander Zverev or Alexander Bublik's chances of winning could lead to significant movement in this market before Oct 21, 2026.