TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 8:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Alexander Zverev will advance against Alex de Minaur in their scheduled match at the Shanghai Rolex Masters. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur.” Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET, as the outcome will be determined by whether Zverev advances against de Minaur in this contest.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Alex de Minaur in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probabilities as perceived by the crowd. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market continuously adjusts based on real-money wagers, potentially offering a more accurate forecast as the event approaches. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly deviates from expert opinion.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Shanghai Rolex Masters match between Alexander Zverev and Alex de Minaur. The outcome will be determined by the official tournament results published by the ATP Tour and widely reported by reputable sports news sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could trigger movement. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or commentary from tennis analysts, could also impact trader behavior. Furthermore, large-volume trades by individual participants on Polymarket can create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring news sources and observing trading volume will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Oct 23, 2026 resolution.