TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 7:52 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an AFC Champions League soccer match between Shanghai Port and Daejeon Citizen, focusing on determining whether Shanghai Port wins, Daejeon Citizen wins, or the game ends in a tie within regular time. The resolution depends strictly on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Any significant changes to the match schedule or cancellation will lead to a fair price resolution.
The event resolves based on the result of the Shanghai Port vs Daejeon Citizen professional AFC Champions League soccer game scheduled for October 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Shanghai Port wins, the 'Shanghai Port' market resolves to Yes. If Daejeon Citizen wins, the 'Daejeon Citizen' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a large number of traders believe an outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of that outcome will rise here. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, especially as event time approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the different possible outcomes of the K League 1 match. The price of each contract reflects the probability that outcome will occur, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price represents the market's best estimate of each outcome's probability.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shanghai Port versus Daejeon Citizen match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The contract corresponding to the winning team will pay out, while contracts for losing teams will be worth $0. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly following the match’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could indicate a change in sentiment and cause the price to move. Monitoring these signals and events can provide insight into potential market movements.